Been a while since I posted anything here, but as a guy who makes money with his cameras let me offer you my 0.2 in relation to my business.
Film is not dead and it won’t be for a while yet, but the people that support your film habit might and in my opinion that is one of the real problems, another problem is that the general public is no longer aware of what a real film print looks like, for my business at least that is the big problem, I have a small photo-wedding business.
The last issue has to do with the “democratization” of professional photography.
There is a lot of contraction in the industry right now when it comes to film in general but by the most part you can find a good variety of film available at pro shops, drugstores and Wall Mart are a different story alltogether but then again that is always been the case.
The real problem in my opinion is not on actually finding the film, but finding a good pro lab with experience printers, most of the BW labs in my city (Washington DC) have gone “the way of the Dodo”, because of a lack of business, which has after 20 years sent me into the darkroom to have an alternative in the event that the lab that I’m presently use decide to close their doors.
As of last year many photographer in my area used BW film because you could not get a real good quality BW print from a color print, which is what you got when you try to print from a digital image converted to BW, so many shoot BW but now that is changing with the advent of off-the-shelf inkjects that come with BW cartridges.
In the past that was an option reserve for people with a piezo BW inkjet system or similar setup. Even the lab that I use implemented a piezo option in order to deal with digital BW.
A good printer right now is hard to find, and once they died-off (literally) BW may actually disappear as an art form, unless of course you take it upon yourself to learn the craft.
A client lack of experience with good prints, normally I monitor wedding forums to see what are the new trends and who wants what in terms of photography, my loosely conducted research points to the fact that most potential brides and groom cannot see a difference between digital and film prints, although most point out that the prints that they are normally show are digital.
In my area however people tend to request real BW as oppose to converted BW.
I have a couple of prints side by side on an album from a real BW print on resin coated paper and the same image from a digital conversion, only after they see that they can tell the difference.
Finally photographers, most pro-photographer on my field have converted to digital for financial reasons, brides wants so many images of their weddings that is not feasible to provide the same number on film, and in order to finance their digital purchases photographers tend to unload their film gear on eBay, now you know where all the MF stuff comes from in eBay.
New photographers entering the market are by the most part digital and a great number of them have gotten in because with digital everything seems simple, up until the blow their first job. But until then all they promote is digital.
At the end off the day digital is here to stay, but this so call digi-film war is one that cannot be compared with the Beta-VHS war but instead is more like a Mac-PC war, where the Mac has a 10% share of the market but they are the sole provider of the machines and the other 90% is divided between everybody else.
So there is still plenty of hope for us film users, Mac stock is doing very well BTW, and I’m a PC user
Regards
Hugh