what lens will go down in price...

I'd love to see the Noctilux prices come down, but imagine that there are many owners and at least one German company who would disagree. It will be very interesting to see if and how the new Nokton exerts pressures in this direction.
 
I'm betting ALL fast lenses will go down, at least temporarily.

But, it's like betting the stock market: are we at the bottom yet, should I buy?

I shoot an M-Hexanon 50mm f1.2 and I would advise anyone to get one once prices have dropped. In the odd case that you don't like it you can sell at a profit in the future, because I am pretty sure people will eventually decide the M-Hex is a better lens in terms of smoothness and tonality. Many prefer an M-Hex over a Voigtlander lens once having seen the difference.

Mine won't be for sale, by the way 🙂
 
The old 50/1.0 Noctilux might come down in price a bit. Canon 0.95 perhaps as well.
 
I bet the Canon 50/0.95 (and to a lesser extent, the Canon 50/1.2). It is soft wide open and very expensive.

There are three, unmodified 50/0.95 lenses that have recently sold on eBay. They ranged between $1026 and $1226. Then you either to do an M-mount conversion which is a few hundred.
 
Having both the CV 35/1.2 and the CV 50/1.1 results in a set of two large and heavy lenses with super fast aperture. Some may prefer a 50mm lens over the 35mm lens and the 35mm might get sold. One of the advantages of RF photography is the small size of the lenses.
 
Yeah, I hope the Canon f0.95 comes down........while I would like to put one on a M3 or a 0.85 M6 sometime soon.....I use the Canon f1.2 all the time now and I absolutely LOVE it! that`s a lens worth every penny 😀

Tom
 
I'm betting ALL fast lenses will go down, at least temporarily.

But, it's like betting the stock market: are we at the bottom yet, should I buy?

I shoot an M-Hexanon 50mm f1.2 and I would advise anyone to get one once prices have dropped. In the odd case that you don't like it you can sell at a profit in the future, because I am pretty sure people will eventually decide the M-Hex is a better lens in terms of smoothness and tonality. Many prefer an M-Hex over a Voigtlander lens once having seen the difference.

Mine won't be for sale, by the way 🙂

I agree with that - I can't see giving up the hex for the CV, The quality differences are just night and day. But I expect the CV wll be a good performer.
 
I bet the Canon 50/0.95 (and to a lesser extent, the Canon 50/1.2). It is soft wide open and very expensive.

There are three, unmodified 50/0.95 lenses that have recently sold on eBay. They ranged between $1026 and $1226. Then you either to do an M-mount conversion which is a few hundred.

I need to shoot my 0.95 more. I don't find it too soft on film, but you have to make sure you focus in the right spot!

These lenses have really spiked recently - personally I can't see the CV having much impact on these or the Noctilux - but I could be wrong. 😀
 
Having read at least one of our cohorts offering to sell a kidney or liver to pay for a 1.1, I believe prices for well-used, second-hand organs may fall first as there will likely be glut on the market.
 
Anything can happen with prices in the first month or two.
What will likely prove true is any lens with a personal signature will hold it's value.
The canon 1.2 and hex certainly will be worth as much or more 12 months from now.
From the samples that we have seen. This lens does draw more like the 1.4/40 than I would like to see for $1200. There is not enough to conclude that for sure but , more than just a few have noted that impression.
 
I think a lot of people will be holding off ... it's a little risky to dump your current fast 50 to get a quick sale to buy a new lens with no established record of performance or character. My Canon 1.2 has it's issues but it definitely has character and I now understand and work around it's faults ... the Nokton for me would compliment it, not replace it!
 
I'm not sure; market forces are hard to predict. A graduate in marketing (ha, big deal, usually evidence driven by antidotes) said that the trick is to predict which way that school of small fish is going to turn. I think he was referring to seventh grade girls, but down deep we are all seventh grade girls.

Check out Thorstein Veblen
 
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