I feel fortunate that I am in Japan, where unemployment is still under 5%. Even so, last year was a difficult one, with much down-sizing occurring. Down-sizing in Japan doesn't necessarily mean being laid-off, it usually means a reduction in hours and pay.
Things seemed to reach the bottom at the end of the summer, but since then, things are starting to look up a little.
The company I work for had a little difficulty last year, and there was a lot of restructuring made to increase efficiency. Since October things have begun to improve, and we are now trying to fill new positions.
My GF works for a large American investment bank in Tokyo, and in January of last year, the CEO of her company stated in plain terms that 2009 would be a "lost" year, and would be difficult to endure. His outlook for 2010 is better, but only marginally. He has a reputation of usually being correct in his business forecasts, and I hope this continues to be true.
I don't agree with the current American strategy for growth and job creation. It is too contradictory and bizarre to actually work. The American government seems to think that it can somehow borrow it's way to prosperity, trying to increase the quality of life of those in the present by borrowing against future generations. It's selfish, and simply dangerous.
A large amount of bail-out money was allocated earlier in the year for job creation, but little has been spent. I believe the current administration is waiting until 2010 (when the mid-term elections will be held) before it begins doling out the money.
I don't blame capitalism for the current economic crisis, I blame policy makers. It is government micro-management of the economy which has led to the problems we currently face. The Federal Reserve has tried to steer the economy in a direction of constant growth at a steady, un-sustainable rate, rather than letting it follow a more natural, market-controlled rate.
I think 2010 should be the year of greatest change, particularly with the holding of the mid-term elections. My advice to those in America is not to vote for any incumbent in office, regardless of their party. The current crop of politicians should all be sent packing. It will be a good lesson to them, and those who replace them. They must learn that there are consequences for their actions, or lack thereof.
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