bmattock said:
Bill, new B+W film production plants do not have to be built if the demand for B+W film is deminishing. All that it is required is that some of the existing plants be kept open to meet the demands of a smaller hard core market. Capitalism works this way: if there is a demand, there will be someone ready to profit from that demand.
Capitalism does indeed work that way, so where did you get the idea that we live in a purely capitalist society - or that there is one to be found anywhere?
Factories produce profitably based on rated output. A factory built to make 10,000 widgets per day cannot scale down to 100 widgets per day and make a profit selling at a price anyone would pay. Once production drops below a critical point, it costs more money to keep producing in small quantities than to shut down entirely.
Simple economics - the costs of the raw materials are seldom equally reflected in scaled production. Meaning that most of your costs of producing film stay the same whether you make 10 rolls a day or 10,000. Same labor rates, same workers, same everything. The costs of actual chemicals consumed is not minor, but not the biggest part of the costs of production. So to cut to 10 percent production would not increase film cost by 10 percent, or 90 percent, it would increase costs per roll by 10,000 percent.
Factories built in the early part of the twentieth century often do not have to adhere to modern emissions standards, they get grandfathered. If they change ownership, those rights may not transfer along with them. Even upgrades become a problem.
Example - If I want to replace fuses with breakers in my house, I have to rewire the whole damned house. Because the law says if I mess with any of it, the whole thing has to be brought up to code. But I can leave it all in the state it is in forever as far as the law is concerned. Same thing for companies that pollute heavily.
Look at a film producing factory sometime. I don't know of one that is less than a million square feet, anywhere in the world. There is a reason for that. Making film is not like making buggy whips or oil paint. It is a multi-process production with many intermediate states and many volatile and dangerous chemicals involved. It ain't a guy in a dark room spreading emulsion on thin plastic with a butter knife and another guy in a room rolling it into little cans.
Capitalism is a wonderful thing, and supply-and-demand do indeed make the world go around. But it is hardly the only consideration in producing photographic film.
Just as an example - where do you suppose Kodak gets it's raw materials? Eastman Chemicals. When they get out of film production, do you think they will still make those chemicals? Right. Where do you buy silver halide, anyway?
Best Regards,
Bill Mattocks