NYC Journal

Guantanamo Bay is going to get that way (concentration camp).
30,000 individuals plus all the staffing (from the Navy) is going to get ugly. We have a new generation of military members, most of whom weren't born when the Abu Graib prison fiasco occurred. That was a smaller facility, with more military presence. There is NOTHING good which can come of this. Many people in one place is going to result in sickness, violence, and death, make no mistake about it. This isn't a supermax prison, and it isn't the prison which has detained 9/11 conspirators for twenty years. It is just a series of old green tents which will probably house 8 prisoners, at first, then due to space, materials, and staffing, will become rapidly overcrowded. Down in Cuba as well. I think this will eventually amount to torture and the coward at the top will be wholly culpable.
Check out Terry Gross' "Fresh Air" podcast from last week with NY Times correspondent, Dexter Filkins, it's awesome for more on the ground perspective and chilling in the assessment that the US military is simply not ready. I met Dexter at Camp Fallujah, in the civilian press area, when I was assigned to be the "minder" of Jackie Spinner when she was at the Washington Post, if I recall correctly. Dexter had just come off a convoy which had been hit by an IED and one of the photographers had her life saved by her camera. I kept up with him just a bit over the years, but really more so with Ashley Gilbertson, the photographer who went into Fallujah with Dexter, during the second siege. They were with 1/8 Marines and witnessed the worst of it. I trust Dexter's opinion and it's a bit calming (if you have the opportunity to listen to his assessment on the notion of US taking over Gaza). That said the unpredictability of Orange Julius is something that no one can really accurately assess.
Phil
 
Phil,

“Orange Julius” made me laugh, but the situation is not.

The military cargo planes can hold up to 800 people. This was done in evacuating people from Afghanistan. The cost of operating a C-130 is $20K per flight hour.

Pretty much a waste of money and resources, especially using C-130’s to deliver 80-90 deportees to Columbia in two separate flights. Do the math, and what a waste. A total waste of money and resources.

Orange Julius is not a joke to laugh about…

I image the exposure to 30K detainees to inhuman conditions, and the likelihood of a devastating hurricane. A man made calamity with the possibility of being ten-times worse than the death toll of Katrina.

Cal
 
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I just paid the balance on my share of my surgery bill that kinda amounts to a major car repair. No stress, the money is in the bank, but I think of the households that live paycheck-to-paycheck, and how such a bill would likely go to a credit card.

My estimate is at least half the American public lives paycheck-to-paycheck and maybe as much a 2/3rds. Pretty much the lifestyle of living beyond one’s means is a carryover from the days of Zero APR, free money, and Heicopter money monetary policy.

The point I’m making here is the general public got accustom to cheap credit, and when interest rates increased the general public abused credit to maintain their standard of living. Living beyond one’s means is now the culture. Very foolish…

So to compensate for the Concentration Camp mentality being promoted by Orange Julius, today I will write out a generous check to C-HOP our local Peekskill farm to table food pantry. I have friends in this non-profit, and they do mucho good.

So on a small scale and on a local level I’m doing some good to offset the vast harm that is being performed.

A headline that was click-bait is that The Hudson Valley has seen and is experiencing real estate price increases. Good for me/us. Median home prices increased. I expect the housing shortage to continue… but at the same time the housing shortage will still continue to escalate and put a squeeze on buyers.

Remember the long-term average for 30 year mortgage rates is actually 7.49%, so to a degree a 7.0% rate really is not so bad, unless you consider all the record low interest rates below 3%. They say that now/today 50% of all outstanding mortgages are below 4%.

Of course this creates a locked in effect, encourages remodeling and expanding existing homes rather than selling and buying to upgrade, and makes it hard and difficult for first time home buyers. Affordability is one problem, and another is the limited supply.

I say this will likely exist for more than a decade, if not 15 years, maybe even 20 years. Then tariffs on building materials will only heighten costs of new construction. Don’t forget that real estate is a hedge against inflation…

Figure that many 30 year mortgages have to get paid down or off for many homes to be back in the market to ”normalize” the housing shortage. A decade, a decade and a half, or even 2 decades is not an unrealistic timeline for things to unwind, but in the meantime expect prices on homes to go up and a long trend of higher inflation.

So pretty much I’m saying don’t be so scared of buying because time, percentages, and economic conditions all say time is your friend here.

Lower interest rates seem not to be in the picture because inflation looks to be accelerating in the future…

So I’m happy I live in the Hudson Valley. I can’t think of a better place…

Cal
 
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I just paid the balance on my share of my surgery bill that kinda amounts to a major car repair. No stress, the money is in the bank, but I think of the households that live paycheck-to-paycheck, and how such a bill would likely go to a credit card.

My estimate is at least half the American public lives paycheck-to-paycheck and maybe as much a 2/3rds. Pretty much the lifestyle of living beyond one’s means is a carryover from the days of Zero APR, free money, and Heicopter money monetary policy.

The point I’m making here is the general public got accustom to cheap credit, and when interest rates increased the general public abused credit to maintain their standard of living. Living beyond one’s means is now the culture. Very foolish…

So to compensate for the Concentration Camp mentality being promoted by Orange Julius, today I will write out a generous check to C-HOP our local Peekskill farm to table food pantry. I have friends in this non-profit, and they do mucho good.

So on a small scale and on a local level I’m doing some good to offset the vast harm that is being performed.

A headline that was click-bait is that The Hudson Valley has seen and is experiencing real estate price increases. Good for me/us. Median home prices increased. I expect the housing shortage to continue… but at the same time the housing shortage will still continue to escalate and put a squeeze on buyers.

Remember the long-term average for 30 year mortgage rates is actually 7.49%, so to a degree a 7.0% rate really is not so bad, unless you consider all the record low interest rates below 3%. They say that now/today 50% of all outstanding mortgages are below 4%.

Of course this creates a locked in effect, encourages remodeling and expanding existing homes rather than selling and buying to upgrade, and makes it hard and difficult for first time home buyers. Affordability is one problem, and another is the limited supply.

I say this will likely exist for more than a decade, if not 15 years, maybe even 20 years. Then tariffs on building materials will only heighten costs of new construction. Don’t forget that real estate is a hedge against inflation…

Figure that many 30 year mortgages have to get paid down or off for many homes to be back in the market to ”normalize” the housing shortage. A decade, a decade and a half, or even 2 decades is not an unrealistic timeline for things to unwind, but in the meantime expect prices on homes to go up and a long trend of higher inflation.

So pretty much I’m saying don’t be so scared of buying because time, percentages, and economic conditions all say time is your friend here.

Lower interest rates seem not to be in the pictureWritt because inflation looks to be accelerating in the future…

So I’m happy I live in the Hudson Valley. I can’t think of a better place…

Cal
I've been reading and re-reading a short book "On Tyranny: Twenty Lessons from the Twentieth Century." Written by Timothy Snyder, a Yale history professor, it offers suggestions for how to respond to autocracy such as what we are now experiencing in the United States.
 
My thinking is the American Public has been mislead by our governments own abuse of credit. We are now in a doubled down effect of dual deficits: government; and household. Not a polite place to be.

Secondly the reset that should of happened in 2007-2008 got kicked down the road, basically a bubble was reinflated, and loses were “socialized.”

Capitalism failed and so did monetary policy and government.

Remember how oppressive economics, and inflation, created hate, fascism.and WWII.

No magic formula here…

I am speaking out of history as an example of where we are heading. Crimes will be committed. Violence condoned. Pretty much sponsored by government.

The spirit and hatred of 1949 and the Peekskill Riots lives on today.

Tell me the difference between Guantanamo Bay and Concentration Camps. Tell me atrocities will not happen. Then look at history…

Anyways, the Chinese have a very long history here in the U.S. There were the Chinese Exclusion Laws that date back to the 1880’s. Chinatowns formed because of lynchings.

During WWII the Chinese were considered allies for three years, but then the Korean War again made the Chinese the enemy.

Then I grew up in the U.S. when in the 1960 Census there were about 238 thousand Asians in the U.S., about half of these Asians were ethnically Chinese, and of these Chinese 95% were Cantonese.

I grew up in the Lilly White suburbs of Long Island. There was segregation to a large extent, and pretty much I grew up looking like the enemy during the Vietnam War era.

Certainly I know hate and hate crimes as well as discrimination.

So be advised that hatred never really died in the U.S.

BTW in the 70’s and 80’s Chinatown was considered the most dangerous neighborhood in NYC. “The Gangs Of New York” was no lie.

Know that my father wanted to send me to school in Chinatown. I imagine that after being in Foster Care for a decade of my life, being the angry and disturbed kid I was, that it would of been pretty easy for me to have been recruited into that underworld. I would have gone pure evil.

Cal
 
My Cancer is now a more public story, even though “Maggie” did not reveal what kind.

Maggie asked about revealing my personal information several times and at different levels. With my Cancer, I figure it is also her story, and that she too also experiences and lives with my Cancer…

I am a public figure because of Maggie’s fame. I am deeply moved by all the caring from people I don’t know.

One of Maggie’s friends is a huge big time writer, like really big and major. Anyways very touching her response and also her help if I get radiation treatment. She has first hand experience with her own battle with Cancer.

BTW this woman is a beauty. Big time famous.

I’m a bit ashamed that I revealed the evil part of me, but I have to acknowledge the danger and fear to contain my evil. I can’t say I really outgrew the rage inside of me, all the hurt and yes hatred that can lead to evil. It is a moral dilemma having known oppression, repression, discrimination, racism and hatred.

If it were not for the arts, I don’t think I would have had the foundation to grow and cope.

I think Phil is and has been on that journey. I am glad he has found the woodcut medium. Know that the arts can save your life, but in say a different way than in my case the bicycle did and my friend Iron Mike.

I am also greatful to the men at Grumman who kinda fostered me and were the fatherly figures that I needed to grow up and become the man I am today. They kinda steered me, guided me, and helped me in a loving way. Did I mention that most of these men were veterans. Understand that Grumman had a very strong veterans preference in their hiring.

I worked for 17 years at Grumman, and know and understand that without those 17 years of stability I likely would have been stuck and would of never advanced or matured or grown up.

So a lot of good things had to happen. More than 7 years in Foster Care is considered long-term, and the long-long term outcomes for kids in Foster Care has a more than 50% chance of either these 5 highly probable outcomes: homelessness; drug or alcohol addition; criminality; mental illness; or suicide. I am familiar with all 5.

Know I was in Foster Care for over a decade. In a way Foster Care is a form of homelessness. The experience is that you as a child is chattel and you are moved like an object. There is danger, confusion, and anger, too much for a child to handle. Great vast disassociations happen.

Understand that in Trump’s first term many children were removed from their parents because of immigration policy. Some were even lost in the goverment confusion. These children suffered pretty much the “annihilation” and feeling of being totally destroyed that I experienced. I can tell you these children were somewhat destroyed.

Anyways, been a while since I released some of the rage…

Cal
 
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According to a Zillow report the New York Metro area remains a hot housing market.

I guess my question is how far can this go, and why?

One guess is the somewhat moderate and stable climate,

Another is the geography and natural beauty, in particular in the Hudson Valley.

A somewhat stable water supply.

Proximity to NYC for services, the arts, culture, and having access to the best of the best.

Certainly there is a high standard for quality of life, but also know that is not equally distributed. Pretty much New York is a nice place to live if you can afford it, otherwise it will oppress you.

So my thinking is that wealth is concentrating around the New York Metro area.

Not sure when this larger scale of gentrification, if you can call it that, might cool down. I do know maybe Canada is being looked at by some.

Cal
 
I’m a bit ashamed that I revealed the evil part of me, but I have to acknowledge the danger and fear to contain my evil. I can’t say I really outgrew the rage inside of me, all the hurt and yes hatred that can lead to evil. It is a moral dilemma having known oppression, repression, discrimination, racism and hatred.
We all have rage and fear inside us. The really dangerous people are the ones who won't acknowledge it, not the one who, like you, channel and transform it.
 
RG,

I agree. Anger can be a super power if channeled.

Before I learned the mechanism that unprocessed anger can lead to depression. I fell ill.

I came of age in the mid 70’s so being an angry, scary, volatile guy who scared people.

The thought that Asians were passive and non confrontational pretty much went out the door. I would flip the switch and would go psycho.

Being a NYC cab driver working nights in 1978 was a kinda death wish. Pretty much testing fate because my life had been so cheapened.

I only did this for a summer before moving on. I did learn a lot about myself, I grew to learn I had actually a lot of power.

Cal
 
More madness: a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum.

The one month grace period didn’t last long for Canada and Mexico.

Pretty hard to find a cheaper source of aluminum than Canada’s made with cheap hydro electric power, unless we buy it from China doing a dumping of product.

Not sure how much steel and aluminum will add to input costs of things like cars, buildings, and structural infrastructure.

In the past a 20% tariff on Canadian lumber went under the radar and was not counted.

When does the nonsense end…

Cal
 
7-0 Eagles.

It is 2:27 PM.

Pretty much I’m limited to coverage via the Internet.

Please feel free to update me here in this thread. Know that when Philly wins a champion ship the economy historically tanks. Pretty much the Eagles winning the Super Bowl would support both superstition and history.

We need to disempower the Orange House. Right now the Donald has a 53% approval rating. The purpose of an needed economic downturn is to wake up the voters who supported the Donald.

Don’t forget to Boycott McDonalds. Not only does Ronald and Donald both have orange hair, both are clowns. Remember that McDonalds openly supported Donald the Clown in having him work the drive up window as a promotion and endorsement.

Seems like the “No-spend” economy is getting traction as a form of protest.

Shut down the economy as much as you can…

Cal
 
Defense put on the pressure and forced another interception.

Eagles have possession and 1:45 on the clock.

Go Eagles offense. Please hurry up and score again.

Would be wonderful for a first-half shutout.

Now the odds certainly have changed. The Eagles are favored.

Go Eagles…

Cal
 
24-0 Eagles and now it is half-time.

Multiple interceptions. The Eagle’s defense shut down the Chiefs offense.

I did not expect a shutout in the first half, especially against a Chief explosive offense. The Chief’s are still a very dangerous opponent.

As I remember in last year’s Super Bowl some penalty’s against the Eagles hurt them. This year it seems some penalty against the Chiefs helped the Eagles advance the ball and get a first down.

In the second half it will likely be crucial to avoid penalties that basically defy one of the laws of street-fighting, and that is never give an opponent an advantage.

Pretty much the second-half will be just following the first 5 rules of street fighting.

No fight is over until your opponent is incapacitated. There are 30 more minutes to this game.

The Eagles need to keep it clean and avoid penalties.

Go Eagles…

Make history…

Cal
 
A comment was made that the Chiefs are a team that does well in the second-half.

The Eagles have to fight an opponent who is fighting from a corner. No time to choke.

Remember the 5 rules of street-fighting.

Back to guitar practice. I’m playing a guitar that formally had Ginzo fret ends that could cut you like a knife. Now what a guitar. Not only mucho good looking, but also plays and sounds well. Killer…

Cal
 
The Eagles has had their prized running back shut down so far in this game. Hmmm…

Also this points spread at half-time is just one point shy of the biggest ever Super Bowl comeback ever. This is the position the Chiefs are presently in. Shut-out in the first-half and the Chiefs would have to make a remarkable comback.

Go Eagles go.

Seems in the first-half the Chiefs had a few penalties against them. Remember Eagles, never give an opponent any advantage.

Cal
 

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