retow
Well-known
Olsen said:You underestimate that you americans 'produce' something and that the growth and value of that productions is considderable in, say, the last 10 years. Your oil production is slightly lower, but the price per barrel more than compensate for that. While your steel industry 'smelled of death' 10 years back it now is strong and healthy. Add a hefty growth of the value of the american agricultural industry and that Microsofts products land in more and more (and more..) PC's, that the Apple looks green and healthy again and that no iPod was around 10 years ago. American weapons have never been more deadly, - and expensive. Your wine production thrives and we just love it. I haven't been so drunk for a long time. And so on... So. Common don't cry!
But like Russia (India, China, Indonesia, I could go on..) your corrupt political system that just fumbles away all that wealth so it falls into the lap of a few weird billionairs. It is the government's job to see to that lone mothers are the first to get anything. Because they are raising the next generation americans.
You most probably are right that the US financial problems are much worse than we see now and more 'fundamental'. My hair stand on end when I read about how low banks are regulated in the US. Deregulation has gone all too far. Over here in Europe we have run banks since 'The Merchant From Venice' times. Our banks have gone bankrupt before... European banks are far more regulated, often wholy or partly governmentally owned. Still I fear that some of them are deep into this 'Slime Debt Crises', but we will have safety nets and systems in place to cover losses. Not so in the US.
To run a bank is something quite different than selling pizza. To invest and lend away other people's money demands prudence and responsibilty unlike any other business. In the US safety funds of prudence has been exchanged for 'fancy financial engineering', proposed by smart business lawyers and made into bills by corrupt farmers from Wyoming,- with no understanding of 'how a bank must be run', often lured to sign with campaign funds, business jet travels and trips to Las Vegas.
When it comes to the Federal banks and the Federal debt; there is only one solution: Somebody, a political figure with authority, must approach these bank managers together with, say, John Gotti jr. (I am sure that he will contribute to this cause so important to the nation) - he is fearsome looking alright. And take the 'Tommy Dorsey/give them an offer they can't refuse'-approach; it's either their signature or their brains on that paper stating that they write off their alledged 'debt' on the american people. It is that simple.
Whatever market sectors thrived or will continue to thrive, including commodities, is based on demand (prices, inluding for Norwegian oil do not go up by themselves). And mostly consumer demand that is.
Financing of excessive US consumption however, was largely financed by increasing household debt (average credit card debt is at record high, mortgage refinancing boomed) rather than real wage growth, which was easy because of plenty and cheap money being made available, asset prices going up and banks luring customers in with teaser interest rates. If, however, the US consumer will haveh to tighten his belt, demand growth will halt and global economic slowdown eventually will be inevitable. Just watch for the next cycle of US retailers reports (which in turn are the biggest buyers of made in China goods. and guess where manufacturing technology and equipment used in China stems from - Europe and Japan. etc etc - it is a global economy eventually).
No offense intended to anybody, but you guys on the old continent have no idea of the consumption pace and intensity of the average US household as compared to a European one and how much the resulting demand pulled global economic expansion (says a European living in the USA for the last 5 years).
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