Wiyum
Established
A number of recent threads (those covering the R-D1x and the full-frame digital Leica M) have set my mind to wondering about the future of the digital rangefinder. Here are my thoughts; I'm curious to hear what everyone else is thinking.
First of all, Leica has a vested interest in further developing digital rangefinders. The M line is the backbone of the company, and the m8/8.2 has been a limited success. Many love the cameras, but many do not, and Leica has a ways to go if they're to satisfy everyone that would like a digital M body. Certain areas of improvement would be a larger, 36x24mm sensor, greater resolution, and improved noise at higher ISOs. Likely, they'll correct for IR and UV in-camera next time around as well. The R&D for such a camera will be staggering, and the price will reflect this. It is unknown just how far along Leica's engineers are in terms of solving the problems that a full frame sensor presents with such a short flange distance.
Beyond Leica, Zeiss is often thought of as a likely provider of a digital rangefinder. Many here would love to see a digital Ikon. Zeiss have stated that until they can release a full-frame Digital Ikon, they aren't interested. Zeiss' close relationship with Sony could provide the sensor (the 24MP sensor found in the A900) and the electronics to make such a camera a reality, but the cost of R&D doesn't seem like a good gamble for Zeiss. They are, after all, doing quite well selling lenses to m8 users, not to mention the fact that they have a much more diversified portfolio than Leica, selling still lenses in at least 7 different mounts, providing lenses for Sony's consumer cameras and camcorders, and producing top-quality motion picture lenses for film and high definition video. Is there enough profit to be had in a Digital Ikon, and the resulting sale of ZM lenses, to justify the R&D of making a full-frame digital M body?
The only other company with a vested interest in rangefinders would be Cosina. There's plenty to appreciate here. As rangefinder evangelists of sorts, they produce low-cost film bodies that are often an individual's first rangefinder. They certainly won't be the company that brings a full-frame digital rangefinder, but I could see them bringing a 1.5x Digital Bessa to market, if only because they probably sell fewer and fewer film Bessas every year. Such a camera would, for obvious reasons, have much in common with the R-D1. The key for Cosina would be to bring the price down considerably. $3000, after all, is far from the "low-cost, introductory" niche that film Bessas fill. What I don't know is what potential partners Cosina might have in the way of electronics.
And what of Epson? I see the R-D1x as a sign that Epson isn't very serious about this market, and an indication that their long-term plans are shallow if not nonexistent.
Who does that leave? Nikon is the most-often cited possibility. Certainly I think that many here would be first in line to purchase a digital rangefinder that uses the wonderful D3/D700 sensor. 12MP is a very sensible pixel count, and the results, all the way to 6400 ISO, are stunning. Nikon's proven that they can tackle technical challenges with effective R&D. But would it be worth it for Nikon to develop such a camera? Without producing their own lenses, it really wouldn't. Even if Nikon launched a line of M lenses, how many would buy the body and skip the lenses altogether? If Nikon's going to get involved at all, I think it would have to be as a partner with another company. If I were Leica, I'd be doing everything I could to try to get that D3/D700 sensor, because Kodak's a lousy partner these days.
So what do you think about the future of digital rangefinders? Will digital's continuing sweep force rangefinders into an even-deeper niche? Or will someone step up and actually get it right, keeping the flame alive?
First of all, Leica has a vested interest in further developing digital rangefinders. The M line is the backbone of the company, and the m8/8.2 has been a limited success. Many love the cameras, but many do not, and Leica has a ways to go if they're to satisfy everyone that would like a digital M body. Certain areas of improvement would be a larger, 36x24mm sensor, greater resolution, and improved noise at higher ISOs. Likely, they'll correct for IR and UV in-camera next time around as well. The R&D for such a camera will be staggering, and the price will reflect this. It is unknown just how far along Leica's engineers are in terms of solving the problems that a full frame sensor presents with such a short flange distance.
Beyond Leica, Zeiss is often thought of as a likely provider of a digital rangefinder. Many here would love to see a digital Ikon. Zeiss have stated that until they can release a full-frame Digital Ikon, they aren't interested. Zeiss' close relationship with Sony could provide the sensor (the 24MP sensor found in the A900) and the electronics to make such a camera a reality, but the cost of R&D doesn't seem like a good gamble for Zeiss. They are, after all, doing quite well selling lenses to m8 users, not to mention the fact that they have a much more diversified portfolio than Leica, selling still lenses in at least 7 different mounts, providing lenses for Sony's consumer cameras and camcorders, and producing top-quality motion picture lenses for film and high definition video. Is there enough profit to be had in a Digital Ikon, and the resulting sale of ZM lenses, to justify the R&D of making a full-frame digital M body?
The only other company with a vested interest in rangefinders would be Cosina. There's plenty to appreciate here. As rangefinder evangelists of sorts, they produce low-cost film bodies that are often an individual's first rangefinder. They certainly won't be the company that brings a full-frame digital rangefinder, but I could see them bringing a 1.5x Digital Bessa to market, if only because they probably sell fewer and fewer film Bessas every year. Such a camera would, for obvious reasons, have much in common with the R-D1. The key for Cosina would be to bring the price down considerably. $3000, after all, is far from the "low-cost, introductory" niche that film Bessas fill. What I don't know is what potential partners Cosina might have in the way of electronics.
And what of Epson? I see the R-D1x as a sign that Epson isn't very serious about this market, and an indication that their long-term plans are shallow if not nonexistent.
Who does that leave? Nikon is the most-often cited possibility. Certainly I think that many here would be first in line to purchase a digital rangefinder that uses the wonderful D3/D700 sensor. 12MP is a very sensible pixel count, and the results, all the way to 6400 ISO, are stunning. Nikon's proven that they can tackle technical challenges with effective R&D. But would it be worth it for Nikon to develop such a camera? Without producing their own lenses, it really wouldn't. Even if Nikon launched a line of M lenses, how many would buy the body and skip the lenses altogether? If Nikon's going to get involved at all, I think it would have to be as a partner with another company. If I were Leica, I'd be doing everything I could to try to get that D3/D700 sensor, because Kodak's a lousy partner these days.
So what do you think about the future of digital rangefinders? Will digital's continuing sweep force rangefinders into an even-deeper niche? Or will someone step up and actually get it right, keeping the flame alive?