Hi Al,
As I suggested in another post here, I think longevity of digital media is not a problem we're going to have to worry about in the long run. There is just too much demand in the world for high quality, extremely long-lasting digital storage, demand not from photographers, but from financial institutions, corporations, etc.. The digital storage industry is going to research the hell out of this potential market... trying to be the first one to develop "archival" media. It'll happen... soon. 🙂
Up to a certain point, I have to challenge this assumption.
Financial institutions, et al (or what's left of them, at the moment) really DO require reliable data storage. But, besides them, who else bothers to buy only "enterprise-class" hard drives and archivally-stable optical-storage media (CDs. DVDs, and the best, but most-neglected of removable media, magneto-optical disk)? Next to no one. We go to the usual suspects and buy whatever 500GB, 750GB or 1TB (and bigger) hard disks happen to be on sale and grab a few of them, not paying attention to specs like MTBF (raise your hand if you know what that stands for). Like the economy at large at the moment, digital media storage is something of a game of musical chairs, where a lapse of attention at the wrong moment can ruin more than just your day. So you have to rotate your HDs on a certain basis (if a given heard disk hits the four-year mark, I replace it, whether it's working perfectly or not), consider a RAID setup, and so on. But, now, we're on the treadmill, where the mantra is Upgrade or Die. Ugh.
As far as cameras go: Even with my fave digicam (Olympus C-8080, which I rhapsodized about in another thread a while ago), NONE of them hold a largely-spent candle to any of my film cameras in terms of absolute speed of use and control manipulation. They simply don't quite work at my speed...yet. And I speak as someone who works like crazy with desktops, laptops, PDAs, cell phones, BlackBerrys and iPhones (and does tech work on all the above for others), so I'm not a hidebound Luddite. Film just works better than digital for me, at this time. In the dSLR world, the Big Thing at the moment seems to be "convergence" with HD video. Since I don't watch TV, that's something of a non-starter in my house.
I suppose that my "problem" is that I know a fair number of film types, and what they can and cannot do, so when I load a given film in a given camera, there's a not a lot of big-brain work involved in working the camera, and I happen to like that. A lot. I'm not quite expecting high(er)-end digitals to match this
exactly, but I want something a good deal more intuitive than what's being pedaled as SOTA right now.
So, no, counter to what Tony in
West Side Story (of which I got to see a tiny part actually filmed) would famously sing, I don't get the feeling of "something's coming", at least not soon. But someone had better have
something better up their sleeve before too long.
- Barrett