semilog
curmudgeonly optimist
Yet development has shown us that we are continuously fitting larger sensors into smaller (or same size) bodies.
Same size, maybe. Smaller, not so frequently. At least for FF.
The problem with big sensors is that they are expensive to produce, and they are expensive to produce because bigger chips have high defect rates.
The biggest reason that we've seen exponential price drops with computers is that higher circuit density allows smaller devices: more devices per wafer, and better yields (a smaller fraction of defective parts).
None of those economies is possible with FF or any other large sensors. Yes, prices will drop, but it is unlikely that prices will drop precipitously.
For the vast majority of consumers, and indeed for many working photographers, APS-C sensors are more than adequate already. Very, very few casual photographers actually ever make prints bigger than 14 x 20, or require better than ISO 3200.
Add to that the fact that bigger sensors require more power (bigger heavier batteries) and bigger heavier lenses, and I don't think you'll see APS-C sensors going away any time soon.
Bigger sensors also have to dissipate more heat. If this heat is not dissipated, the noise advantage is nullified. They are also heavier, a consideration for designers who wish to incorporate sensor-based antishake tech.
Note further that mirrorless cameras with APS-C or micro 4/3 sensors already own 40% of the market in Japan, and that fraction is growing.
FF DSLRs are not going away, but they will be high-end niche products for the foreseeable future.
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